CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2022-10-09T23:48:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2022-10-09T23:48ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/21956/-1
CME Note: Visible in SE of SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. Associated with filament eruption located around S30E40 starting at 2022-10-09T22:30Z. Best seen in SDO AIA 193 and 304. Also seen in STEREO A EUVI 195. UPDATE (2022-10-21T15:45Z) from Tarik (LASSOS Team): There is no ICME signature on 2022-10-14, however, a clear Stream Interaction Region (SIR) is evident in the L1 signatures. The SIR start and the HSS start is denoted by gold and blue lines respectively. The SIR start is identified by rotations in the field components (because of compression) and start of a turbulent period of field components. Also, enhancements of the magnetic field and proton density is observed at the interface and you can see the bulk speed to increase till the start of the HSS (after which this should remain constant).
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-10-14T18:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 20.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -19586.93 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z
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